A practical guide to deterministic evidence-signal review in TEMIRIN using configured records, explicit market identity, current controls, and human review.
July 9, 2026 · 4 min read
For this workflow, an evidence signal is a watchlist-derived record that brings configured evidence and current market context into one place for human review. It should name the source item, explicit market ID, first recorded price, latest price, deterministic confidence context, policy state, and observation times. The useful value is inspectability: a reviewer can open the underlying fields and record a reasoned conclusion.
Keep the signal scope narrow. A stored item may be fresh but irrelevant to the exact contract, while a reliable source may still report a preliminary fact. Display source reliability, relevance, direction, freshness, and tags as separate deterministic fields. The reviewer should be able to challenge any of them in a note without changing the original source record or presenting the confidence value as a forecast.
Configured RSS and HTTPS evidence retains canonical source identity, available publication time, observation time, stored content, freshness, and duplicate state. Provider-backed X and Telegram records keep their available item references and operational context. A deterministic brief should lead back to these records. Reviewers need the source trail to distinguish a primary release, repeated reporting, a correction, and a collection failure.
Count independent origins rather than the number of cards. Several domains can repeat one announcement, and one official page can receive a material update at the same address. Preserve the duplicate relationship and append later observations. When evidence conflicts, place the relevant claims and clocks side by side and capture the human explanation that determines what needs further verification.
A source item becomes market-specific only through a supported explicit market identifier. Confirm the exact question, outcome, close time, and resolution source before reading its direction field. Similar headlines can point toward different contracts, and opposite outcome tokens can invert the meaning of the same price. If the identifier is missing, leave the evidence in source context until a person verifies the correct watchlist market.
Preserve the trigger price captured with the opportunity and display the latest synchronized price with a separate timestamp. Public bid, ask, spread, and visible depth describe the market observation available during review. Keep those values beside the evidence without treating price movement as proof that the source is correct. The reviewer can explain disagreement between evidence and price in an attributable journal note.
Deterministic confidence context should remain visible with the reliability, relevance, direction, and freshness inputs that produced it. Current policy can show source and category state, max-stake and minimum-confidence overrides, free-capital percentage, price-move guard, and kill switch. A configured public wallet adds read-only positions, PnL context, and concentration with its own observation time. Each lane has a distinct purpose.
The authenticated decision records approve or reject with an actor and timestamp, and the price-move guard belongs to that step. A later paper order is a separate user-created simulation. Its checks cover per-order notional, rolling twenty-four-hour notional, per-market exposure, and portfolio concentration. Keeping confidence, policy, wallet, decision, and paper results in separate fields prevents one status from standing in for the others.
Sample evidence records across source types, categories, confidence ranges, and decision outcomes. Verify provenance, explicit market identity, trigger and current timestamps, policy reason, wallet snapshot, human note, and any paper record. Include rejected, blocked, and no-action cases. A record that later looks obvious may have contained real uncertainty at review time, so preserve the original inputs before examining subsequent market or resolution context.
Use journal analytics to ask whether sources stayed fresh, links were correct, notes explained disagreement, and decisions used consistent terminology. Export a bounded cohort with stable IDs and trace selected rows back to the workspace. When the team changes a checklist, document it prospectively. This creates useful learning from evidence signals without rewriting historical records to fit what became known later.
A reviewed signal can include configured evidence, provenance fields, an explicit market reference, trigger and current prices, source attributes, policy context, and an attributable human note.
It requires a supported explicit Polymarket market ID already configured in the workspace. The exact market question and resolution wording remain visible for human verification.
Unavailable fields stay labeled as unavailable. The source record can remain in review or unlinked research without TEMIRIN filling the missing value or presenting the record as complete.
Yes. After explicit market linkage, a user may create a separate paper order. Its server checks and result remain distinct from signal provenance, source attributes, and actual portfolio records.
