Prediction-market activity, event contracts, cryptoasset workflows, wallet interactions, CLOB orders, automated monitoring, and controlled execution workflows involve substantial risk. You can lose some or all capital committed to market activity, and losses can occur quickly.
This Risk Disclosure is not exhaustive and does not describe every risk that may apply to you. You should use Temirin and any connected venue only if you understand the product, venue, rules, risks, costs, taxes, your financial situation, and your legal obligations.
If you do not understand a market, venue, wallet action, order type, resolution rule, legal restriction, or risk-control setting, do not trade or use execution workflows.
Temirin may help organize market data, source evidence, portfolio context, alerts, risk views, journal notes, and workflow controls. It cannot make prediction markets safe, liquid, accurate, lawful for you, profitable, or suitable for your objectives.
No software, AI model, alert, risk limit, portfolio view, or execution control can guarantee a favorable outcome, prevent losses, or ensure compliance with every law, venue rule, and personal restriction that applies to you.
Prediction markets and event contracts may be volatile, illiquid, thinly traded, fragmented, manipulated, delayed, jurisdictionally restricted, or unavailable. Prices can move sharply based on news, rumors, order-book imbalance, large traders, social activity, venue rules, market pauses, or settlement expectations.
Yes and No shares, conditional tokens, collateral assets, and event contracts may have binary or near-binary outcomes. A losing position may become worth zero. A winning position may still produce lower net returns because of spread, fees, taxes, timing, slippage, settlement, or opportunity cost.
Market prices may be interpreted as implied probabilities, but implied probability is not a prediction by Temirin and is not a guarantee that an event will occur or fail to occur.
Event outcomes may resolve differently than you expect. Resolution sources, market wording, deadlines, time zones, definitions, edge cases, cancellations, ambiguity, appeals, disputes, forks, manual intervention, and venue discretion can materially affect outcomes.
You are responsible for reading the specific market rules, resolution criteria, terms, linked sources, and venue policies before participating. Similar markets may resolve under different standards.
Temirin does not operate Polymarket or any other market venue. Third-party venues and providers may change rules, restrict users, reject orders, suspend markets, suffer outages, delay settlement, change APIs, impose fees, cancel markets, modify rewards, alter collateral requirements, or make decisions you disagree with.
Venue interfaces, APIs, docs, order books, profile data, portfolio data, reward data, and accounting exports may differ from Temirin displays, blockchain explorers, or your own records. Provider changes can break workflows without advance notice.
You are responsible for reading and complying with all venue terms, market rules, eligibility requirements, risk disclosures, and applicable laws before using any venue or market.
Prediction-market, event-contract, derivatives, gambling, commodities, securities, cryptoasset, payments, tax, sanctions, anti-money-laundering, campaign, government-ethics, professional-conduct, and employment rules are complex and can change quickly.
A market or workflow that is visible online may still be unlawful, unavailable, close-only, or prohibited for you. Your country, state, province, residency, citizenship, IP location, workplace, employer, role, source of information, source of funds, or professional obligations may restrict or prohibit participation.
Geofence and sanctions controls may block, restrict, or close-only workflows based on country, region, IP, venue rules, legal review, or provider policy. Attempts to bypass restrictions can result in account suspension, loss of access, regulatory exposure, or inability to close positions.
Trading or attempting to profit from confidential, classified, embargoed, employment-sensitive, governmental, corporate, campaign, creator, platform, supplier, customer, or material nonpublic information may violate law, venue rules, employment duties, fiduciary duties, ethics rules, confidentiality obligations, or market-integrity standards.
You must not use Temirin to facilitate insider trading, fraud, manipulation, wash trading, spoofing, layering, pre-arranged noncompetitive activity, coordinated abuse, geofence evasion, or any activity that harms market integrity.
If you have influence over an event, market, outcome, resolution source, publication schedule, political campaign, sports organization, company, creator, platform, or data release, seek independent advice before participating in related markets.
Displayed prices, implied probabilities, order-book depth, last trade prices, midpoints, and portfolio values may not represent the price you can actually obtain. Spreads, fees, failed orders, partial fills, stale quotes, latency, cancel failures, and market movement can significantly reduce returns or increase losses.
Market orders, immediate-or-cancel behavior, fill-or-kill behavior, good-til-cancelled behavior, good-til-date behavior, and limit orders each create different risks. Order type, token ID, side, size, tick size, negative-risk flag, expiration, and wallet state must be reviewed carefully.
Trigger prices, current prices, price timelines, price-history charts, edge estimates, and underpriced-market indicators may be delayed, stale, incomplete, rounded, based on midpoint or last-trade assumptions, or different from executable bid/ask prices.
Automated or assisted order workflows may submit, prepare, or record actions based on stale, incomplete, or misconfigured inputs unless controlled by effective review and kill-switch procedures.
Wallets, smart contracts, conditional tokens, approvals, allowances, bridges, RPC providers, stablecoins, gas fees, private keys, signatures, and on-chain settlement involve technical and financial risk. Transactions and signatures may have consequences that are difficult or impossible to reverse.
Never share seed phrases, private keys, or wallet secrets. If you lose control of a wallet or sign a malicious transaction, you may lose funds or positions permanently. Temirin cannot recover private keys, reverse on-chain actions, or guarantee wallet-provider recovery.
Stablecoins, collateral assets, bridges, smart contracts, and networks may suffer depegs, exploits, freezes, outages, governance changes, or operational failures.
Venue API credentials, CLOB authentication headers, wallet signatures, and signed orders can authorize sensitive account activity. Mishandling credentials can lead to unauthorized trading, data exposure, account restrictions, or financial loss.
Any live execution path should require wallet proof, user-side signing, CLOB credential controls, signed-order validation, geofence approval, legal-review gates, kill-switch state, and audit records. These controls reduce operational risk but do not eliminate market, venue, wallet, or compliance risk.
You should review permissions, scopes, expiration, revocation, API keys, passphrases, order payloads, and wallet prompts before connecting or signing anything.
Market data, source feeds, social feeds, RSS feeds, websites, Telegram channels, X posts, blockchain data, portfolio APIs, venue APIs, and provider diagnostics can be delayed, incomplete, stale, unavailable, manipulated, mistranslated, rate-limited, or wrong.
Temirin is designed to avoid inventing sensitive financial values when data is missing, but absence of data, stale data, blocked provider calls, or failed ingestion can still affect decisions and operations.
You should maintain independent monitoring for important markets, positions, orders, sources, and alerts.
AI summaries, classifications, source-to-market matching, opportunity signals, relevance scores, confidence scores, estimated probabilities, edge calculations, and conflict analysis can be inaccurate, incomplete, biased, stale, hallucinated, or misleading. AI may misunderstand source context, sarcasm, timing, probability, causality, legal restrictions, or resolution criteria.
An opportunity signal, confidence percentage, suggested direction, suggested stake, underpriced label, or shadow-PnL estimate is not a guarantee, recommendation, instruction, or assurance that a market is mispriced, profitable, legal, liquid, executable, or appropriate.
AI outputs are not financial, legal, tax, compliance, or trading advice. You must inspect primary sources and make your own decisions.
Alerts, delivery channels, ingestion schedules, source refreshes, worker jobs, webhooks, Slack, Telegram, email, and in-app notifications may fail, duplicate, delay, misroute, or trigger incorrectly.
Semi-automatic approval workflows may expire, be delayed, be intercepted on compromised devices, be approved after a material price move, or be invalidated by policy gates. Telegram buttons, webhooks, and delivery logs are operational controls, not guarantees of correct or timely action.
Automatic or paper-automatic workflows can amplify misconfiguration. Source caps, category caps, confidence ladders, cooldowns, daily or weekly limits, percent-of-capital limits, and kill switches reduce risk only if configured correctly and enforced successfully.
Plan limits, source limits, refresh-frequency limits, provider rate limits, permissions, token expiration, bot restrictions, downtime, spam filters, and webhook failures can interrupt monitoring. Do not rely on Temirin as your only monitoring system for high-risk activity.
Portfolio values, open positions, closed positions, cash balances, realized PnL, unrealized PnL, daily PnL, cumulative PnL, history, fees, rewards, and downloadable reports may differ from venue UI, blockchain explorers, tax records, accounting records, actual executable prices, or your own books and records.
Actual PnL, shadow PnL, missed-opportunity PnL, avoided-loss estimates, trigger-to-open slippage, source attribution, category attribution, and confidence calibration are analytical views. They may rely on assumptions, incomplete price history, missing fills, delayed portfolio sync, or simplified execution models.
Temirin reports are not tax forms, brokerage statements, audited records, or official venue records. You should maintain your own records and consult qualified advisers for tax, accounting, and reporting obligations.
Controlled execution workflows, paper orders, risk acknowledgements, kill switches, role permissions, notional caps, exposure checks, concentration checks, and audit logs are controls, not guarantees.
Controls can be misconfigured, stale, bypassed by authorized users, unavailable, insufficient, incorrectly calibrated, or unsuitable for your strategy. A control passing does not mean an order is safe, profitable, legal, or appropriate.
Any live execution path should be used only after legal, compliance, wallet, venue, risk, audit, security, and operational controls have been reviewed and approved by qualified professionals.
Plan limits, trial expiration, billing status, provider webhooks, account status, source capacity, alert channels, connected-account capacity, workspace seats, and support level can affect available features.
A failed payment, provider outage, webhook delay, plan downgrade, entitlement bug, role change, or workspace suspension may interrupt workflows or reduce capacity at an important time.
Auto-Reload or funding workflows, if enabled, can create additional financial, payment, authorization, timing, settlement, chargeback, bank, card, stablecoin, bridge, wallet, and compliance risks. Reload controls must be treated as sensitive capital controls and should not be enabled without explicit limits, authorization, and independent review.
Email compromise, device compromise, SIM swap, phishing, malicious browser extensions, malware, leaked credentials, unsafe wallets, compromised team members, weak operational controls, and third-party breaches can lead to unauthorized access, data exposure, unauthorized orders, or financial loss.
You are responsible for securing your accounts, devices, wallets, email, browser, third-party services, and team access. Revoke unused credentials and review audit logs regularly.
Prediction-market and cryptoasset activity may create tax, accounting, reporting, licensing, registration, recordkeeping, employment, professional-conduct, campaign, government-ethics, or disclosure obligations.
Temirin does not provide legal, tax, accounting, compliance, or regulatory advice. Consult qualified professionals for your specific situation.
Prediction-market activity can create reputational, employment, contractual, fiduciary, regulatory, political, or business risks. Employers, clients, investors, counterparties, regulators, exchanges, venues, or the public may view certain activity unfavorably or prohibit it.
You are responsible for determining whether your activity is permitted by your contracts, policies, role, and duties.
Past performance, historical probabilities, backtests, screenshots, examples, AI summaries, alerts, portfolio history, source freshness, or model output do not guarantee future results.
A workflow that appears disciplined can still lose money. A market that appears mispriced can become more mispriced or resolve against your thesis.
You should participate in prediction-market activity only if you can afford the potential loss, understand the rules and risks, have independent advice where appropriate, and are legally eligible.
Do not use borrowed funds, essential living funds, client funds, employer funds, restricted funds, or funds you cannot afford to lose unless you have all required authority and professional guidance.
By using Temirin, connecting accounts, recording risk acknowledgements, configuring execution workflows, or interacting with prediction-market tools, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this Risk Disclosure and that you remain responsible for your own decisions and losses.
If you are uncertain about any risk or legal restriction, do not trade and do not use execution workflows.