Prediction-market activity, event contracts, cryptoasset workflows, wallet interactions, third-party venue orders, automated monitoring, alerts, and paper-decision workflows involve substantial risk. You can lose some or all capital committed through a venue, and losses can occur quickly.
This Risk Disclosure is not exhaustive and does not describe every risk that may apply to you. You should use Temirin and any connected venue only if you understand the product, venue, rules, risks, costs, taxes, your financial situation, and your legal obligations.
If you do not understand a market, venue, wallet action, order type, resolution rule, legal restriction, or risk-control setting, do not authorize or place an order through Temirin or any external venue.
Temirin may help organize market data, source evidence, portfolio context, alerts, risk views, journal notes, and workflow controls. It cannot make prediction markets safe, liquid, accurate, lawful for you, profitable, or suitable for your objectives.
No software, evidence score, alert, risk limit, portfolio view, or paper-workflow control can guarantee a favorable outcome, prevent losses, or ensure compliance with every law, venue rule, and personal restriction that applies to you.
Prediction markets and event contracts may be volatile, illiquid, thinly traded, fragmented, manipulated, delayed, jurisdictionally restricted, or unavailable. Prices can move sharply based on news, rumors, order-book imbalance, large traders, social activity, venue rules, market pauses, or settlement expectations.
Yes and No shares, conditional tokens, collateral assets, and event contracts may have binary or near-binary outcomes. A losing position may become worth zero. A winning position may still produce lower net returns because of spread, fees, taxes, timing, slippage, settlement, or opportunity cost.
Market prices may be interpreted as implied probabilities, but implied probability is not a prediction by Temirin and is not a guarantee that an event will occur or fail to occur.
Event outcomes may resolve differently than you expect. Resolution sources, market wording, deadlines, time zones, definitions, edge cases, cancellations, ambiguity, appeals, disputes, forks, manual intervention, and venue discretion can materially affect outcomes.
You are responsible for reading the specific market rules, resolution criteria, terms, linked sources, and venue policies before participating. Similar markets may resolve under different standards.
Temirin does not operate Polymarket or any other market venue. Third-party venues and providers may change rules, restrict users, reject orders, suspend markets, suffer outages, delay settlement, change APIs, impose fees, cancel markets, modify rewards, alter collateral requirements, or make decisions you disagree with.
Venue interfaces, APIs, docs, order books, profile data, portfolio data, reward data, and accounting exports may differ from Temirin displays, blockchain explorers, or your own records. Provider changes can break workflows without advance notice.
You are responsible for reading and complying with all venue terms, market rules, eligibility requirements, risk disclosures, and applicable laws before using any venue or market.
Prediction-market, event-contract, derivatives, gambling, commodities, securities, cryptoasset, payments, tax, sanctions, anti-money-laundering, campaign, government-ethics, professional-conduct, and employment rules are complex and can change quickly.
A market or workflow that is visible online may still be unlawful, unavailable, close-only, or prohibited for you. Your country, state, province, residency, citizenship, IP location, workplace, employer, role, source of information, source of funds, or professional obligations may restrict or prohibit participation.
Geofence and sanctions controls may block, restrict, or close-only workflows based on country, region, IP, venue rules, legal review, or provider policy. Attempts to bypass restrictions can result in account suspension, loss of access, regulatory exposure, or inability to close positions.
Trading or attempting to profit from confidential, classified, embargoed, employment-sensitive, governmental, corporate, campaign, creator, platform, supplier, customer, or material nonpublic information may violate law, venue rules, employment duties, fiduciary duties, ethics rules, confidentiality obligations, or market-integrity standards.
You must not use Temirin to facilitate insider trading, fraud, manipulation, wash trading, spoofing, layering, pre-arranged noncompetitive activity, coordinated abuse, geofence evasion, or any activity that harms market integrity.
If you have influence over an event, market, outcome, resolution source, publication schedule, political campaign, sports organization, company, creator, platform, or data release, seek independent advice before participating in related markets.
Displayed prices, implied probabilities, order-book depth, last trade prices, midpoints, and portfolio values may not represent the price you can actually obtain. Spreads, fees, failed orders, partial fills, stale quotes, latency, cancel failures, and market movement can significantly reduce returns or increase losses.
Market orders, immediate-or-cancel behavior, fill-or-kill behavior, good-til-cancelled behavior, good-til-date behavior, and limit orders each create different risks. Order type, token ID, side, size, tick size, negative-risk flag, expiration, and wallet state must be reviewed carefully.
Trigger prices, current prices, price timelines, and price-history charts may be delayed, stale, incomplete, rounded, based on midpoint or last-trade assumptions, or different from executable bid/ask prices.
Alerts, review records, or paper-order workflows may use stale, incomplete, or misconfigured inputs unless users verify the current venue and source state independently.
Wallets, smart contracts, conditional tokens, approvals, allowances, bridges, RPC providers, stablecoins, gas fees, private keys, signatures, and on-chain settlement involve technical and financial risk. Transactions and signatures may have consequences that are difficult or impossible to reverse.
Never share seed phrases, private keys, or wallet secrets. If you lose control of a wallet or sign a malicious transaction, you may lose funds or positions permanently. Temirin cannot recover private keys, reverse on-chain actions, or guarantee wallet-provider recovery.
Stablecoins, collateral assets, bridges, smart contracts, and networks may suffer depegs, exploits, freezes, outages, governance changes, or operational failures.
Venue API credentials, authentication headers, wallet signatures, and signed orders used with third-party services can authorize sensitive account activity. Mishandling credentials can lead to unauthorized trading, data exposure, account restrictions, or financial loss.
For accounts where controlled live execution is enabled, Temirin may store supported scoped CLOB credentials in encrypted server-side storage and transmit an order payload that you explicitly review and authorize. Temirin does not take custody of wallet funds and must never receive your private key or seed phrase.
You should review permissions, scopes, expiration, revocation, API keys, passphrases, signature type, funder address, order payloads, and wallet prompts before connecting, signing, or transmitting anything. Revoke affected credentials immediately if you suspect compromise.
Market data, source feeds, social feeds, RSS feeds, websites, Telegram channels, X posts, blockchain data, portfolio APIs, venue APIs, and provider diagnostics can be delayed, incomplete, stale, unavailable, manipulated, mistranslated, rate-limited, or wrong.
Temirin is designed to avoid inventing sensitive financial values when data is missing, but absence of data, stale data, blocked provider calls, or failed ingestion can still affect decisions and operations.
You should maintain independent monitoring for important markets, positions, orders, sources, and alerts.
Deterministic evidence briefs, reliability scores, relevance scores, freshness checks, and confidence values can be inaccurate, incomplete, stale, or misleading when source inputs, tags, or explicit market IDs are wrong or incomplete.
A market review record, confidence percentage, price comparison, policy state, or paper outcome estimate is not a guarantee, recommendation, instruction, or assurance that a market is mispriced, profitable, legal, liquid, executable, or appropriate.
Evidence scores and briefs are not financial, legal, tax, compliance, or trading advice. You must inspect primary sources and make your own decisions.
Alerts, delivery channels, ingestion schedules, source refreshes, worker jobs, webhooks, Slack, Telegram, email, and in-app notifications may fail, duplicate, delay, misroute, or trigger incorrectly.
Approval records may be delayed, be accessed on compromised devices, or become stale after a material price move. Telegram alerts, webhooks, and delivery logs are separate operational records, not guarantees of correct or timely review.
Paper workflows can amplify misconfiguration. Source and category controls, confidence settings, cooldowns, stake and free-capital limits, price guards, and kill switches reduce risk only if configured correctly and enforced successfully. Paper-order checks separately enforce plan-level per-order, rolling-24-hour, market-exposure, and portfolio-concentration limits.
Plan limits, source limits, refresh-frequency limits, provider rate limits, permissions, token expiration, bot restrictions, downtime, spam filters, and webhook failures can interrupt monitoring. Do not rely on Temirin as your only monitoring system for high-risk activity.
Portfolio values, open positions, closed positions, cash balances, realized PnL, unrealized PnL, daily PnL, cumulative PnL, history, fees, rewards, and downloadable reports may differ from venue UI, blockchain explorers, tax records, accounting records, actual executable prices, or your own books and records.
Public-wallet PnL, paper outcome comparisons, trigger-to-paper-open differences, evidence cohorts, and confidence calibration are analytical views. They may rely on assumptions, incomplete price history, missing venue activity, delayed portfolio sync, or simplified paper models.
Temirin reports are not tax forms, brokerage statements, audited records, or official venue records. You should maintain your own records and consult qualified advisers for tax, accounting, and reporting obligations.
Paper orders, live orders, versioned risk acknowledgements, geofences, pre-trade validation, reconciliation, kill switches, role permissions, stake caps, exposure checks, concentration checks, and audit logs are controls, not guarantees.
Controls can be misconfigured, stale, bypassed by authorized users, unavailable, insufficient, incorrectly calibrated, or unsuitable for your strategy. A control passing does not mean an order is safe, profitable, legal, or appropriate.
An enabled Temirin live workflow may transmit an authorized order to a third-party venue, but transmission is not acceptance and acceptance is not a fill. Orders may be rejected, delayed, partially filled, filled at an adverse price, remain open, fail to cancel, or be reconciled late. You remain responsible for venue state, balances, allowances, open orders, fills, settlement, and independent monitoring.
Plan limits, trial expiration, billing status, provider webhooks, account status, source capacity, alert channels, connected-account capacity, workspace seats, and support level can affect available features.
A failed payment, provider outage, webhook delay, plan downgrade, entitlement bug, role change, or workspace suspension may interrupt workflows or reduce capacity at an important time.
Hosted checkout and subscription billing can be affected by payment-provider outages, payment failures, chargebacks, currency conversion, tax handling, account restrictions, and billing-state delays. Review provider notices and invoice records independently.
Email compromise, device compromise, SIM swap, phishing, malicious browser extensions, malware, leaked credentials, unsafe wallets, compromised team members, weak operational controls, and third-party breaches can lead to unauthorized access, data exposure, unauthorized orders, or financial loss.
You are responsible for securing your accounts, devices, wallets, email, browser, third-party services, and team access. Revoke unused credentials and review audit logs regularly.
Prediction-market and cryptoasset activity may create tax, accounting, reporting, licensing, registration, recordkeeping, employment, professional-conduct, campaign, government-ethics, or disclosure obligations.
Temirin does not provide legal, tax, accounting, compliance, or regulatory advice. Consult qualified professionals for your specific situation.
Prediction-market activity can create reputational, employment, contractual, fiduciary, regulatory, political, or business risks. Employers, clients, investors, counterparties, regulators, exchanges, venues, or the public may view certain activity unfavorably or prohibit it.
You are responsible for determining whether your activity is permitted by your contracts, policies, role, and duties.
Past performance, historical probabilities, backtests, screenshots, examples, evidence briefs, alerts, portfolio history, source freshness, or scoring output do not guarantee future results.
A workflow that appears disciplined can still lose money. A market that appears mispriced can become more mispriced or resolve against your thesis.
You should participate in prediction-market activity only if you can afford the potential loss, understand the rules and risks, have independent advice where appropriate, and are legally eligible.
Do not use borrowed funds, essential living funds, client funds, employer funds, restricted funds, or funds you cannot afford to lose unless you have all required authority and professional guidance.
By using Temirin, connecting accounts, recording risk acknowledgements, configuring alerts or paper-workflow controls, or interacting with prediction-market tools, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this Risk Disclosure and that you remain responsible for your own decisions and losses.
If you are uncertain about any risk or legal restriction, do not trade and do not rely on software output as a substitute for qualified advice.