Prediction market
A market where prices represent the crowd-implied probability of a future outcome, subject to liquidity, fees, and resolution rules.
Prediction-market and opportunity workflow terms traders should know.
Short, practical definitions for concepts used by the current product: source evidence, deterministic briefs, market review records, trigger prices, read-only public-wallet context, risk policy, paper learning, controlled live orders, CLOB credentials, lifecycle reconciliation, and cancellation.
Clear terms for serious traders.
Short definitions help users understand market structure, trigger-price context, capital controls, risk language, and the workflows they see inside Temirin.
Implied probability
The probability suggested by a market price. A 63 cent YES price is often read as roughly 63%, before fees and market structure.
Resolution source
The source or rule set used to determine the final outcome of a market.
CLOB
Central limit order book, the order-book model used by many trading venues to match bids and asks.
Exposure
The capital or risk connected to one market, theme, account, or outcome.
Kill switch
A workspace control that fail-closes new live-order transmission when enabled and supports the supervised emergency cancel-all workflow for active provider orders.
Policy gate
A required control or acknowledgement that must pass before a sensitive workflow can continue.
Source freshness
How recently a monitored source was checked, parsed, and made available for review.
Evidence brief
A deterministic summary of explicitly linked evidence using source tier, reliability, relevance, direction, freshness, and block reasons.
Market review record
A durable workspace record that connects watchlist market context with evidence, confidence, trigger price, current price, policy state, blocked reasons, and a saved decision.
Trigger price
The market price retained when a watchlist-derived market review record is first created.
Paper outcome comparison
A mark-to-market comparison of a saved paper-order limit price with its trigger-price reference at the current market price; it is not a live performance promise.
Approval mode
A review workflow where Temirin records a request and waits for an explicit approve or reject decision. Approval alone never transmits an order; controlled live transmission remains a separate exact-order confirmation.
Controlled live order
A user-reviewed, provider-required wallet-signed order that Temirin may transmit only after current legal, jurisdiction, wallet, credential, policy, risk, adapter, ledger, and deployment gates pass. Transmission does not guarantee venue acceptance or a fill.
Trading journal
A record of thesis, evidence, conviction, risk notes, workflow actions, and review outcomes.
Alert cooldown
A delay that prevents repeated notifications from firing too frequently for the same condition.
Workspace audit trail
A record of sensitive workspace events such as source changes, review decisions, approval responses, policy updates, billing changes, credential events, and paper- or live-order lifecycle actions.