Prediction market
A market where prices represent the crowd-implied probability of a future outcome, subject to liquidity, fees, and resolution rules.
Prediction-market and opportunity workflow terms traders should know.
Short, practical definitions for the concepts that show up inside source matching, opportunity review, risk policy, approvals, and attribution.
Clear terms for serious traders.
Short definitions help users understand market structure, trigger-price context, capital controls, risk language, and the workflows they see inside Temirin.
Implied probability
The probability suggested by a market price. A 63 cent YES price is often read as roughly 63%, before fees and market structure.
Resolution source
The source or rule set used to determine the final outcome of a market.
CLOB
Central limit order book, the order-book model used by many trading venues to match bids and asks.
Exposure
The capital or risk connected to one market, theme, account, or outcome.
Kill switch
A control that disables approval, funding, automation, or order workflows when a workspace, user, or system policy requires a stop.
Policy gate
A required control or acknowledgement that must pass before a sensitive workflow can continue.
Source freshness
How recently a monitored source was checked, parsed, and made available for review.
Evidence brief
A structured summary of source material, support signals, conflicting context, and market relevance.
Opportunity signal
A reviewable record that connects a source trigger to matched markets, direction, confidence, trigger price, current price, edge, risk policy, decision state, and attribution.
Trigger price
The market price captured when the system first observed the source event or opportunity trigger.
Edge
The difference between the system-estimated probability and the market price, before considering spread, liquidity, fees, slippage, and risk limits.
Shadow PnL
A performance estimate showing what would have happened if the system path had been followed, compared with the user actual decision or no action.
Approval mode
A semi-automatic workflow where Temirin prepares an opportunity or order intent but waits for explicit user approval before action continues.
Auto-Reload
A planned capital-control workflow that can request a wallet top-up when free capital falls below a user-defined threshold, subject to payment, legal, and risk gates.
Trading journal
A record of thesis, evidence, conviction, risk notes, workflow actions, and review outcomes.
Alert cooldown
A delay that prevents repeated notifications from firing too frequently for the same condition.
Workspace audit trail
A record of sensitive workspace events such as source changes, opportunity decisions, approval responses, policy updates, billing changes, funding events, and order workflow actions.